Applications of Climate Modeling

With all the questions about climate change and variability being asked each day the applications of climate modeling is virtually endless. Of primary concern at this time is the identification of the causes of climate change and how much is anthropogenic and how changes in our habits may contribute to the climate. The most common studies are examining the climate for an atmosphere with a doubled CO2 concentration. This is to simulate the atmosphere in the future without a conscience effort to reduce CO2 emissions and there have even been a few studies that have used a quadrupled CO2 concentration. It is the goal of these experiments to better understand the role that the so-called "greenhouse gasses" play in our changing climate.

Agriculture is another arena that is greatly enhanced by the use and application of climate models. Even though no climate model has the exact answers to what the climate will be ten years from now or one hundred years from now the model output gives us some possibilities. Having possible outcomes of climate change and variability allows research to be more focused. Research can be conducted to develop other crop varieties and practices that are more favorable for the possible climate scenarios. Regions can begin to diversify their economic bases so blows to the agricultural sector do not topple an entire town financially. One thing is for certain - the climate is going to change and models can give us some clues about how it is going to change.

The information from the climate models can also be used to study the response of people to climate change instead of plants. Many domains that are susceptible to climate change play a large role in the distribution of people, for example the water resources and land resources. Economics of a region could also change drastically with a shift in the climate which would then alter the job market and livelihood the region. All these things are important to the migration of people. Thus, by using the climate model output as input into migration models, economic models and the related, a greater understanding of the socioeconomic impacts of climate change and variability can be reached.

University of North Dakota / School of Aerospace Sciences / Atmospheric Science Department

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